InTrade Bird Flu Market

There is a contract in InTrade for Asian Bird flu to be confirmed in the U.S. by Dec 31, 2005. Below is a snapshot. For the current markets visit http://www.intrade.com/ and enter Flu in the Contracts Search. Basically, the probability is low according to this market. Go to the site to get current prices.

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Contract Information Oct 18 - Dec 31     Current Events Bird Flu Asian Bird flu to be confirmed in the U.S.A.	Statistics Currency USD Session lo/hi - - - Life lo/hi 3.1 - 40.0 Previous Close 3.4 Open Price - Last Price 3.4 Last Trade Time - Today's Volume 0 Total Volume 5186
Lifetime Last Week Today   BID Qty Price 51 3.2 8 3.1 31 3.0 2 2.6 50 2.5 100 2.1 2 1.6 2 1.5 46 0.4 229 0.3 100 0.2 30 0.1 ASK Price Qty 3.4 2 3.5 3 4.4 12 5.7 23 5.8 10 6.0 10 6.3 10 6.8 5 7.5 2 37.0 2 38.0 94 44.0 1
Contract Specs Examples Margin Specs Explanation Tick Size 0.1 Contract Start Date Oct 18, 2005 Tick Value USD 0.01 Contract Expiry Date Dec 31, 2005 USD per Point USD 0.10 Contract Type 0-100 Min Contract Price 0.0 Max Contract Price 100.0

There is also a contract for bird flu appearing in the USA by March 31, 2006.

Note: Founders of InTrade will appear at the Prediction Markets Summit on Feb 3 in NYC along with Robin Hanson, James Surowiecki, Google Labs and others.